The Drew Team is here to help you reach your goals!

May 24, 2022

Sellers Have an Opportunity with Today’s Home Prices

Sell Your Home with The Drew Team at SWMR Arizona

As mortgage rates started to rise this year, many homeowners began to wonder if the value of their homes would fall. Here’s the good news. Historically, when mortgage rates rise by a percentage point or more, home values continue to appreciate. The latest data on home prices seems to confirm that trend.

According to data from CoreLogic, home price appreciation has been re-accelerating since November. The graph below shows this increase in home price appreciation in green:

Sellers Have an Opportunity as Home Prices Re-Accelerate | MyKCMThis is largely due to an ongoing imbalance in supply and demand. Specifically, housing supply is still low, and demand is high. As mortgage rates started to rise this year, many homebuyers rushed to make their purchases before those rates could climb higher. The increased competition drove home prices up even more. Selma Hepp, Deputy Chief Economist at CoreLogicexplains:

“Home price growth continued to gain speed in early spring, as eager buyers tried to get in front of the mortgage rate surge.”

And experts say prices are forecast to continue appreciating, just at a more moderate pace moving forward. A recent article from Fortune says:

“. . . the swift move up in mortgage rates . . . doesn’t mean home prices are about to crash. In fact, every major real estate firm with a publicly released forecast model . . . still predicts home prices will climb further this year.”

What This Means for You

If you’re thinking about selling your house, you should know you have a great opportunity to list your home and capitalize on today’s home price appreciation. As prices rise, so does the value of your home, which gives your equity a big boost.

When you sell, you can use that equity toward the purchase of your next home. And at today’s record-level of appreciation, that equity may be enough to cover some (if not all) of your down payment.

Bottom Line

History shows rising mortgage rates have not had a negative impact on home prices. Now is still a great time to sell your house thanks to ongoing price appreciation. When you’re ready to find out how much equity you have in your current home and what’s happening with home prices in your local area, let’s connect.

Currently we are running at less than 1 month of inventory of homes in the Greater Phoenix Valley,  sellers continue to have an advantage anytime it is under 3 months of inventory and they can't build homes fast enough to change that anytime soon.

Want to know YOUR value, get details on the market or find out how easily we can help reach your real estate goals? Then contact us today!   The Drew Team is Robin & Steven Drew, Robin McAvoy, Casey Hurlburt, Tom Walton and Nancy Horn...   all of us ready to utilize our experience and expertise so you can make that move!

May 16, 2022

Are There More Homes Coming to the Market?

The Drew Team REALTORs buy sell real estate arizona

According to a recent survey from the National Association of Realtors (NAR), one of the top challenges buyers face in today’s housing market is finding a home that meets their needs. That’s largely because the inventory of homes for sale is so low today.

If you’re looking to buy a home, you may have noticed this yourself. But there is good news. Recent data shows more sellers are listing their houses this season, which may give you more options for your home search.

Early Signs Inventory May Be Growing

The latest data from realtor.com shows the number of listings coming onto the market, known in the industry as “new listings,” has increased since the start of the year (see graph below):

Are There More Homes Coming to the Market? | MyKCM

This indicates more sellers are listing their homes for sale each month this year. And according to realtor.com, this growth is expected to continue. Their research finds the majority of potential sellers plan to list their homes over the next six months. Realtor.com says:

“. . . markets may see a noticeable bump in the number of homes for sale as we move through spring and into summer. A majority of homeowners planning to sell this year indicated that they aim to list in the next six months, with almost 10% having already placed their properties on the market.”

Homes Are Still Selling Quickly

But while new listings are increasing, it’s important to know they’re also selling quickly. The latest Realtors Confidence Index from NAR shows the median days on market for recently sold homes since the beginning of the year (see chart below). The time on market has decreased month-over-month. That means homes are selling even faster than they did the previous month.

Are There More Homes Coming to the Market? | MyKCM

What That Means for You

While a low-inventory market is difficult to navigate as a buyer, there is hope. The growing number of new listings in the Phoenix Valley and the expectation more sellers will list their homes in the coming months is great news if you’ve had a hard time finding a home that fits your needs. Just remember, those new listings are going fast. That means you’ll want to keep your foot on the gas and be ready to act if you find a home you love this season.

Your agent can help you stay on top of the latest listings in your area so you can find the home that’s right for you and submit your strongest offer as quickly as possible.

Bottom Line

If you’ve been having a hard time finding your dream home, stick with your search. More options are coming to market and your ideal home could be one of them. Let’s connect so you can stay up to date on the latest listings in our market, so you can be ready to move fast when you find the one that’s right for you.

The Drew Team, Robin & Steven Drew, Robin McAvoy, Casey Hurlburt, Tom Walton and Nancy Horn are ready with more than 50 years combined experience and over 1,000 transactions to help accomplish your real estate goals!

 

May 10, 2022

Will Home Prices Fall This Year? Here’s What Experts Say.

 

Will Home Prices Fall This Year? Here’s What Experts Say | MyKCM

Many people are wondering: will home prices fall this year? Whether you’re a potential homebuyerseller, or both, the answer to this question matters for you. Let’s break down what’s happening with home prices, where experts say they’re headed, and how this impacts your homeownership goals.

What’s Happening with Home Prices? 

Home prices have seen 121 consecutive months of year-over-year increases. CoreLogic says:

Price appreciation averaged 15% for the full year of 2021, up from the 2020 full year average of 6%.”

So why are prices climbing so much? It’s because there are more buyers than there are homes for sale. This imbalance is expected to maintain that upward pressure on home prices because homes for sale are a hot commodity in today’s low-inventory housing market.

Where Do Experts Say Prices Will Go from Here?

Experts say the housing market isn’t set up for a price decline due to that ongoing imbalance between supply and demand. In the latest home price forecasts for 2022, they’re calling for ongoing appreciation throughout the year (see graph below):

Will Home Prices Fall This Year? Here’s What Experts Say | MyKCM

While the experts are forecasting more moderate price appreciation, the 2022 projections show price gains will remain strong throughout this year. First American explains it like this:

While house price growth is expected to moderate from the rapid pace of 2021, strong home buyer demand against a backdrop of historically tight inventory of homes for sale will likely keep appreciation positive in the coming year.”

What Does That Mean for You?

The biggest takeaway is that none of the experts are projecting depreciation. If you’re a homeowner thinking about selling, the higher price appreciation over the last two years has been great for your home’s value, but it’s also something you should factor in when planning your next steps. If you’ll also be buying a home after selling your current house, you shouldn’t wait for prices to fall. Waiting will only cost you more in the long run because climbing mortgage rates and rising home prices will have an impact on your next home purchase. Freddie Mac says:

“If you’re thinking about waiting until next year and that maybe rates are higher, but you’ll get a deal on prices – well that’s risky. It may be more advantageous to purchase this year relative to waiting until 2023 at this time.”

Bottom Line

If you’re thinking of selling to move up, you shouldn’t wait for prices to fall. Experts say prices will continue to appreciate this year. That means, if you’re ready, buying your next home before prices climb further may make the most financial sense. Let’s connect to begin the process of selling your current home and looking for your next one before prices rise higher.

 

LOCAL MARKET UPDATE

Currently most of the Phoenix Valley is running at about a 3 week supply (a sellers market - whereas a neutral market would be about 3.5 MONTHs supply).    Additionally we usually we a spike in demand at the end of May as schools are getting out and families begin to look for new options.

 

The Drew Team can help you reach YOUR real estate goals!   If you are looking to move up for space, location or need to downsize, retire or maybe are looking for an investment property The Drew Team has the experience that can see you winn! 

The Drew Team is Robin & Steven Drew, Robin McAvoy, Casey Hurlburt, Tom Walton and our dedicated admin Nancy Horn.   We serve the entire Phoenix Valley and have been doing so since 2009, built on the premise of serving YOUR goals and creating a process that will reduce stress and maximize your money.

Posted in market update
May 2, 2022

How Homeownership Can Help Shield You from Inflation

How Homeownership Can Help Shield You from Inflation | MyKCM

If you’re following along with the news today, you’ve likely heard about rising inflation. You’re also likely feeling the impact in your day-to-day life as prices go up for gas, groceries, and more. These rising consumer costs can put a pinch on your wallet and make you re-evaluate any big purchases you have planned to ensure they’re still worthwhile.

If you’ve been thinking about purchasing a home this year, you’re probably wondering if you should continue down that path or if it makes more sense to wait. While the answer depends on your situation, here’s how homeownership can help you combat the rising costs that come with inflation.

Homeownership Offers Stability and Security

Investopedia explains that during a period of high inflation, prices rise across the board. That’s true for things like food, entertainment, and other goods and services, even housing. Both rental prices and home prices are on the rise. So, as a buyer, how can you protect yourself from increasing costs? The answer lies in homeownership.

Buying a home allows you to stabilize what’s typically your biggest monthly expense: your housing cost. If you get a fixed-rate mortgage on your home, you lock in your monthly payment for the duration of your loan, often 15 to 30 years. James Royal, Senior Wealth Management Reporter at Bankrate, says:

A fixed-rate mortgage allows you to maintain the biggest portion of housing expenses at the same payment. Sure, property taxes will rise and other expenses may creep up, but your monthly housing payment remains the same.” 

So even if other prices rise, your housing payment will be a reliable amount that can help keep your budget in check. If you rent, you don’t have that same benefit, and you won’t be protected from rising housing costs.

Use Home Price Appreciation to Your Benefit

While it’s true rising mortgage rates and home prices mean buying a house today costs more than it did a year ago, you still have an opportunity to set yourself up for a long-term win. Buying now lets you lock in at today’s rates and prices before both climb higher.

In inflationary times, it’s especially important to invest your money in an asset that traditionally holds or grows in value. The graph below shows how home price appreciation outperformed inflation in most decades going all the way back to the seventies – making homeownership a historically strong hedge against inflation (see graph below):

How Homeownership Can Help Shield You from Inflation | MyKCM

So, what does that mean for you? Today, experts say home prices will only go up from here thanks to the ongoing imbalance in supply and demand. Once you buy a house, any home price appreciation that does occur will be good for your equity and your net worth. And since homes are typically assets that grow in value (even in inflationary times), you have peace of mind that history shows your investment is a strong one.

Bottom Line

If you’re ready to buy a home, it may make sense to move forward with your plans despite rising inflation. If you want expert advice on your specific situation and how to time your purchase, let’s connect.

The Drew Team is ready to help reach YOUR goals, whatever they may be.  Having served over 1000 client transactions we have the experience, expertise and tools to help you succeed in a competitive market.   Robin & Steven Drew, Robin McAvoy, Casey Hurlburt, Tom Walton and Nancy Horn are ready to serve you NOW!

April 16, 2022

On the Fence of Whether or Not To Move This Spring? Consider This.

 

On the Fence of Whether or Not To Move This Spring? Consider This. | MyKCM

If you’re thinking of selling your house, it may be because you’ve heard prices are rising, listings are going fast, and sellers are getting multiple offers on their homes. But why are conditions so good for sellers today? And what can you expect when you move? To help answer both of those questions, let’s turn to the data.

Today, there are far more buyers looking for homes than sellers listing their houses. Here are the maps of the latest buyer and seller traffic from the National Association of Realtors (NAR) to help paint the picture of what this looks like:

On the Fence of Whether or Not To Move This Spring? Consider This. | MyKCM

Notice how much darker the blues are on the left. This shows buyer traffic is strong today. In contrast, the much lighter blues on the right indicate weak or very weak seller traffic. In a nutshell, the demand for homes is significantly greater than what’s available to purchase.

What That Means for You

You have an incredible advantage when you sell your house under these conditions. Since buyer demand is so high at a time when seller traffic is so low, there’s a good chance buyers will be competing for your house.

According to NAR, in February, the average home sold got 4.8 offersWhen buyers have to compete with one another like this, they’ll do everything they can to make their offer stand out. This could play to your favor and mean you’ll see things like waived contingencies, offers over asking price, earnest money deposits, and more. Selling when demand is high and supply is low sets you up for a big win.

If you’re also looking to buy a house, you may be tempted to focus more on just the seller traffic map and wonder if it means you’ll have trouble finding your next home. But remember this: perspective is key. As Danielle Hale, Chief Economist at realtor.comsays:

The limited number of homes for sale is a lesson in perspective. This same stat that frustrates would-be homebuyers also means that today’s home sellers enjoy more limited competition than last year’s home sellers.”

If you look at the big picture, the opportunity you have as a seller today is unprecedented. Last year was a hot sellers’ market. This year, inventory is even lower, and that means an even bigger opportunity for you. Even though finding your next home in a market with low inventory can be challenging, is that concern worth passing on some of the best conditions sellers have ever seen?

As added peace of mind, remember real estate professionals have been juggling this imbalance of supply and demand for nearly two years, and they know how to help both buyers and sellers find success when they move. A skilled agent can help you capitalize on the great opportunity you have as a seller today and guide you through the buying process until you find the perfect place to call your next home.

Bottom Line

If you’re ready to move, you have an incredible opportunity in front of you today. Trust the experts. Let’s connect so you have expertise on your side that can help you win when you sell and when you buy.

Robin & Steven Drew, Robin McAvoy, Casey Hurlburt, Tom Walton and Nancy Horn of The Drew Team are skilled and ready to reach YOUR goals!   Message us NOW to get moving!

The Drew Team is located in Queen Creek, Arizona however were serve the entire Phoenix Valley and are the number 2 team in Queen Creek, San Tan Valley and Florence. Arizona according to numbers compiled by Fast Expert.

April 13, 2022

Why a Real Estate Professional Is Key When Selling Your House

The DREW Team REALTORs Arizona

With today’s real estate market moving as fast as it is, working with a real estate professional is more essential than ever. They have the skills, experience, and expertise it takes to navigate the highly detailed and involved process of selling a home. That may be why the percentage of people who list their houses on their own, known as a FSBO or For Sale By Owner, has reached its lowest point since 1985 (see graph below):

Why a Real Estate Professional Is Key When Selling Your House | MyKCM

Here are five reasons why selling with a real estate professional makes more sense, even in today’s hot market:

1. They Know What Buyers Want To See

Before you decide which projects and repairs to take on, connect with a real estate professional. They have first-hand experience with today’s buyers, what they expect, and what you need to do to make sure your house shows well.

If you don’t lean on their expertise, you may spend your time and money on something that isn’t essential. That’s because, in today’s low-inventory market, buyers are willing to take on more of the renovation work themselves. A survey from Freddie Mac finds that:

“. . . nearly two-in-five potential homebuyers would consider purchasing a home requiring renovations.” 

A professional can help you decide what you need to tackle. It’s not canned advice you could find online – it’s recommendations specific to your house and your area.

2. They Help Maximize Your Buyer Pool

Today, the average home is getting 4.8 offers per sale according to recent data from the National Association of Realtors (NAR), and that competition is pushing prices up. While that’s promising for you as a seller, it’s important to understand your agent’s role in bringing buyers in.

Real estate professionals have an assortment of tools at their disposal, such as social media followers, agency resources, and the MLS to ensure your house is viewed by the most buyers. According to realtor.com:

Only licensed real estate agents can list homes on the MLS, which is a one-stop online shop of sorts for getting a house seen by thousands of agents and home buyers. . . . This is certainly one of many good reasons why the majority of home sellers decide to employ the services of a listing agent rather than going it alone.”

Without access to these tools, your buyer pool is limited. And you want more buyers to view your house since buyer competition can drive your final sales price higher.

3. They Understand the Fine Print

Today, more disclosures and regulations are mandatory when selling a house. That means the number of legal documents you’ll need to juggle is growing. That’s why Investopedia says:

One of the biggest risks of FSBO is not having the experience or expertise to navigate all of the legal and regulatory requirements that come with selling a home.”

A real estate professional knows exactly what needs to happen, what all the paperwork means, and how to work through it efficiently. They’ll help you review the documents and avoid any costly missteps that could occur if you try to handle them on your own.

4. They’re Trained Negotiators

If you sell without a professional, you’ll also be solely responsible for all the negotiations. That means you’ll have to coordinate with:

  • The buyer, who wants the best deal possible
  • The buyer’s agent, who will use their expertise to advocate for the buyer
  • The inspection company, which works for the buyer and will almost always find concerns with the house
  • The appraiser, who assesses the property’s value to protect the lender

Instead of going toe-to-toe with all these parties alone, lean on an expert. They’ll know what levers to pull, how to address everyone’s concerns, and when you may want to get a second opinion.

5. They Know How To Set the Right Price for Your House

If you sell your house on your own, you may over or undershoot your asking price. That could mean you’ll leave money on the table because you priced it too low or your house will sit on the market because you priced it too high. Pricing a house requires expertise. Investopedia explains it like this:

. . . There is no easy or universal way to determine market value for real estate.

Real estate professionals know the ins and outs of how to price your house accurately and competitively. To do so, they compare your house to recently sold homes in your area and factor in the current condition of your house. These factors are key to making sure it’s priced to move quickly while still getting you the highest possible final sale price.

Bottom Line

There's a lot that goes into selling your house. Instead of tackling it alone, let’s connect so you have an expert on your side throughout the entire process.

The Drew Team has experience and expertise in all types of markets, while the average agent is struggling WE have secured over 40 contracts for our clients in Arizona already in 2022.  We work the entire valley but have had the greatest success in Queen Creek, San Tan Valley, Gilbert area thus far in 2022.  Often we know of properties before they are public giving you a competitive advantage AND our history of success cause other agents to want to work with our clients which means we will more often against other offers.

The Drew Team is Robin & Steven Drew, Robin McAvoy, Casey Hurlburt, Tom Walton and our admin, the amazing Nancy Horn.  We have been recognized as among America's Best Small Real Estate Teams each of the last 5 years  and possess a 5 star review rating on Zillow, Google and Facebook because we know that reaching YOUR goals is what really matters.

April 8, 2022

Arizona Real Estate Drastic Changes?

April 2022 Arizona Real Estate Market Update

                     

 

Today we are talking about:

1.  The CURRENT Arizona Real Estate Market   2. What the Future Market looks like  3. How we win for clients NOW!     

First the current market using the numbers from April 6th 2022

April 2022 Arizona Real Estate Market

These numbers are encouraging because while the homes sell quickly, we turn over the inventory every two weeks, it also means that homes are being listed consistently and more often than last year.  Last year we had LESS active and LESS closing every month...  however NOW there are MORE homes and MORE closings (nearly double from last year).   So IF you know someone who gave up, NOW is a great time to get back to looking for a home!   Additionally we have secured nearly 40 contracts ALREADY in 2022!  Including purchases, move ups and even first time buyers.  While many agents are frustrated, we at The Drew Team are putting our experience to work in helping YOU win!

 

Next let's explore why the market is moving so fast, home selling so quickly and is NOT likely to change anytime soon.

Many people are focusing on how this market feels similar to 2007-2008 in that home values have escalated quickly and homes are selling fast.   Those two facts are similar today, but the reason behind those facts are completely different.   Here are 3 graphics to demonstrate why it is different and why the market is unlikely to change quickly.

The Drew Team REALTORS winning for YOU Arizona real estate

1.  While home values have increased dramatically over the last 2 years, they were undervalued for nearly a decade prior, so that, only after these dramatic increases are we IN LINE with the historical AVERAGE value increase to be expected in the real estate market.   

The Drew Team giving you facts to win in this market

2.  We have a lack of inventory.   As you can see above from 2008-2017 the number of new homes built were not enough to account for population growth nor for any local variances.   In Arizona we didn't build enough for the existing poplulation, for population growth AND CERTAINLY the influx of people from the West Coast.    NOW this cannot be quickly corrected because there is BOTH a shortage of material and labor.    We are many years from any hope of correcting this shortfall of homes.

The Drew Team Queen Creek San Tan Valley Arizona

3.  Mortgages are in much better condition, the guidelines have been much more strict and so we have a historically HIGH number of homes with strong equity value and extremely LOW number that are "under water."     As discussed above, home have finally attained the value to put them inline with historical averages and that means even homeowners who difficult circumstances can sell their home for more than they own - thus the home foreclosure rates are miniscule.   

BONUS -  Arizona has more people employed than before the Pandemic shutdown.   Even eliminating seasonal farm work, we have over 35,000 MORE people employed than in Feb 2020!  Plus we have more manufacturing & technology companies committed to opening operations in Arizona over the next couple of years.   Add up all the above information...   we are YEARS away from there being a significant shift in the market.   Thus seller's remain in strong position and buyers will need tools to compete.  So...

How is The Drew Team creating opportunities for YOU to WIN in this market

There are a lot of ways we are different that most agents, we also have tools most do not, however let me highlight a few ways that are allowing us to help our clients win right now!

   - Having access to homes that are not yet on the market, NEGOTIATING early access

   - Relationships with other agents, creating advocates that WANT to work with us

   - Leveraging our past success of nearly 1000 closed transactions 

   - Strong partnerships with our lenders, inspectors and investors

    - Crafting unique marketing plans to maximize offers for our sellers

   - Creating stategic plans that allow our buyers to overcome even cash offers and investors

And the list goes on, but what matters is we customize a unique plan to REACH YOUR GOALS!

As you can see below we were the top agents in Queen Creek, San Tan Valley, Florence and beyond while serving Arizona!

        Drew Team 2022 Fast Expert Award Winner Arizona       Drew Team 2022 Award winning Arizona REALTORS 

 

So if you are looking to make a move this year reach out to us, Robin & Steven Drew, Robin McAvoy, Casey Hurlburt, Tom Walton and our amazing admin Nancy Horn are ready to help you win!

 

Of course we also have some special programs for our First Responders too:

 

 

 

Thanks to our partners who make the First Responder program possible:

   The Drew Team partner Jason Wojtyna Fairway Mortgage  

Posted in market update
April 2, 2022

A Key To Building Wealth Is Homeownership

A Key To Building Wealth Is Homeownership | MyKCM

The link between financial security and homeownership is especially important today as inflation rises.  But many people may not realize just how much owning a home contributes to your overall net worth. As Leslie Rouda Smith, President of the National Association of Realtors (NAR), says:

"Homeownership is rewarding in so many ways and can serve as a vital component in achieving financial stability."

Here are just a few reasons why, if you’re looking to increase your financial stability, homeownership is a worthwhile goal.

Owning a Home Is a Building Block for Financial Success

A recent NAR report details several homeownership trends and statistics, including the difference in net worth between homeowners and renters. It finds:

“. . . the net worth of a homeowner was about $300,000 while that of a renter’s was $8,000 in 2021.”

To put that into perspective, the average homeowner’s net worth is roughly 40 times that of a renter (see visual below):

A Key To Building Wealth Is Homeownership | MyKCM

The results from this report show that owning a home is a key piece to the puzzle when building your overall net worth.

Equity Gains Can Substantially Boost a Homeowner’s Net Worth

The net worth gap between owners and renters exists in large part because homeowners build equity. As a homeowner, your equity grows as your home appreciates in value and you make your mortgage payments each month.

In other words, when you own your home, you have the benefit of your mortgage payment acting as a contribution to a forced savings account. And when you sell, any equity you’ve built up comes back to you. As a renter, you’ll never see a return on the money you pay out in rent every month.

To sum it up, NAR says it simply:

“Homeownership has always been an important way to build wealth.”

Bottom Line

The gap between a homeowner’s net worth and a renter’s shows how truly foundational homeownership is to wealth-building. If you’re ready to start on your journey to homeownership, let’s connect today.

The Drew Team is Robin & Steven Drew, Robin McAvoy, Casey Hurlburt, Tom Walton and Nancy Horn.   Together we have averaged over 100 home sales a year, understand the value of a home, of 2nd or vacation homes, investment property and caring for our neighbors.   While the market is always changing, what doesn't change is that our expertise can be the difference in reaching YOUR goals! 

Ready to make a move?  Contact us today!

 

 

March 28, 2022

What You Can Expect from the Spring Housing Market

 

What You Can Expect from the Spring Housing Market | MyKCM

As the spring housing market kicks off, you likely want to know what you can expect this season when it comes to buying or selling a house. While there are multiple factors causing some uncertainty, including the conflict overseas, rising inflation, and the first rate increase from the Federal Reserve in over three years — the housing market seems to be relatively immune.

Here’s a look at what experts say you can expect this spring.

1. Mortgage Rates Will Climb

Freddie Mac reports the 30-year fixed mortgage rate has increased by more than a full point in the past six months. And despite some mild fluctuation in recent weeks, experts believe rates will continue to edge up over the next 90 days. As Freddie Mac says:

“The Federal Reserve raising short-term rates and signaling further increases means mortgage rates should continue to rise over the course of the year.”

If you’re a first-time buyer or a seller thinking of moving to a home that better fits your needs, realize that waiting will likely mean you’ll pay a higher mortgage rate on your purchase. And that higher rate drives up your monthly payment and can really add up over the life of your loan.

2. Housing Inventory Will Increase

There may be some relief coming for buyers searching for a home to purchase. Realtor.com recently reported that the number of newly listed homes has grown for each of the last two months. Also, the National Association of Realtors (NAR) just announced the months’ supply of inventory increased for the first time in eight months. The inventory of existing homes usually grows every spring, and it seems, based on recent activity, the next 90 days could bring more listings to the market.

If you’re a buyer who has been frustrated with the limited supply of homes available for sale, it looks like you could find some relief this spring. However, be prepared to act quickly if you find the right home.

If you’re a seller, listing now instead of waiting for this additional competition to hit the market makes sense. Your leverage in any negotiation during the sale will be impacted as additional homes come to market.

3. Home Prices Will Rise

Prices are always determined by supply and demand. Though the number of homes entering the market is increasing, buyer demand remains very strong. As realtor.com explains in their most recent Housing Report:

“During the final two weeks of the month, more new sellers entered the market than during the same time last year. . . . However, with 5.8 million new homes missing from the market and millions of millennials at first-time buying ages, housing supply faces a long road to catching up with demand.”

What does that mean for you? With the demand for housing still outpacing supply, home prices will continue to appreciate. Many experts believe the level of appreciation will decelerate from the high double-digit levels we’ve seen over the last two years. That means prices will continue to climb, just at a more moderate pace. Most experts are predicting home prices will not depreciate.

Won’t Increasing Mortgage Rates Cause Home Prices To Fall?

While some people may believe a 1% increase in mortgage rates will impact demand so dramatically that home prices will have to fall, experts say otherwise. Doug Duncan, Senior Vice President and Chief Economist at Fannie Maesays:

“What I will caution against is making the inference that interest rates have a direct impact on house prices. That is not true.”

Freddie Mac studied the impact that mortgage rates increasing by at least 1% has had on home prices in the past. Here are the results of that study:

What You Can Expect from the Spring Housing Market | MyKCM

As the chart shows, mortgage rates jumped by at least 1% six times in the last thirty years. In each case, home values increased.

So again, if you’re a first-time buyer or a repeat buyer, waiting to buy likely means you’ll pay more for a home later in the year (as compared to its current value).

Bottom Line

There are three things that seem certain going into the spring housing market:

  1. Mortgage rates will continue to rise
  2. The selection of homes available for sale will modestly improve
  3. Home prices will continue to appreciate, just at a slightly slower pace

If you’re thinking of buying, act now before mortgage rates and home prices increase further. If you’re thinking of selling, your best bet may be to sell soon so you can beat the increase in competition that’s about to come to market.

While many are calling the market "crazy," "out of control."  expecting a correction etc...   the facts simply point to a lack of inventory and steady demand.  In Arizona it is due to a massive influx of people moving here (to retire, take advantage of tech jobs or simply the mass exodus from the West coastal states) plus the fact that we simply did not build at a sufficient pace over the last decade.    SO... you need a team to help you navigate this market...   The Drew Team is succeeding in helping our buyers win and our sellers to get the highest price possible because we have experience and skills to reach your goals.

The Drew Team is Robin & Steven Drew, Robin McAvoy, Casey Hurlburt, Tom Walton and Nancy Horn.   Together we have averaged over 100 home sales a year, understand the value of home, of 2nd or vacation homes, investment property and caring for our neighbors.   While the market is always changing, what doesn't change is that our expertise can be the difference in reaching YOUR goals!  Ready to make a move?  Contact us today!

 

Posted in market update
March 21, 2022

The Average Homeowner Gained More Than $55K in Equity over the Past Year

The Average Homeowner Gained More Than $55K in Equity over the Past Year | MyKCM

If you’re a current homeowner, you should know your net worth just got a big boost. It comes in the form of rising home equity. Equity is the current value of your home minus what you owe on the loan. Today, you’re building that equity far faster than you may expect – and this gain is great news for you.

Here’s how it happened. Home values are on the rise thanks to low housing supply and high buyer demand. Basically, there aren’t enough homes available to meet this high buyer interest,  so bidding wars are driving home prices up. When you own a home, the rising prices mean your home is worth more in today’s market. And as home values climb, your equity does too. As Dr. Frank Nothaft, Chief Economist at CoreLogicexplains:

“Home prices rose 18% during 2021 in the CoreLogic Home Price Index, the largest annual gain recorded in its 45-year history, generating a big increase in home equity wealth.”

The latest Homeowner Equity Insights from CoreLogic shed light on just how much rising home values have boosted homeowner equity. According to that report, the average homeowner’s equity has grown by $55,300 over the last 12 months.

Want to know what’s happening in your area? Here’s a breakdown of the average year-over-year equity growth for each state based on that data.

The Average Homeowner Gained More Than $55K in Equity over the Past Year | MyKCM

How Rising Equity Impacts You

In addition to building your overall net worth, equity can also help you achieve other goals like buying your next home. It works like this: when you sell your house, the equity you built up comes back to you in the sale.

In a market where you’re gaining so much equity, it may be just what you need to cover a large portion – if not all – of the down payment on your next home. So, if you’ve been holding off on selling and worried about being priced out of your next home because of today’s home price appreciation, rest assured your equity can help fuel your move.

Bottom Line

Equity can be a real game-changer if you’re planning to make a move. To find out just how much equity you have in your home and how you can use it to fuel your next purchase, let’s connect so you can get a professional equity assessment report on your house.